Home Page

With just over a week to go until the start of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season,NOAA’s outlook is hot off the press and garnering a lot of attention.

Here’s NOAA’s take on the season by the numbers:

● NOAA is calling for a 50 percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal season.

● NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher).

● These numbers are near or below the seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes, based on the average from 1981 to 2010.

What are the reasons behind NOAA’s predictions for a near-normal or below-normal season?

A key driver of this year’s outlook is the anticipated development of El Niño this summer that is expected to cause stronger wind shear which reduces the number and intensity of tropical storms and hurricanes.

Cooler Atlantic Ocean temperatures this season also suggest fewer hurricanes, NOAA says.

Despite the prognosis for a below-normal or near-normal season, it’s important that coastal residents don’t underestimate the hurricane threat. As Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA administrator says:

Note: NOAA’s seasonal hurricane outlook is not a hurricane landfall forecast and does not predict how many storms will hit land or where a storm will strike.

Read More: Source

Posted 9:47 AM  View Comments

Share |


No Comments


Post a Comment
Name
Required
E-Mail
Required (Not Displayed)
Comment
Required


All comments are moderated and stripped of HTML.
Submission Validation
Required
CAPTCHA
Change the CAPTCHA codeSpeak the CAPTCHA code
 
Enter the Validation Code from above.
NOTICE: This blog and website are made available by the publisher for educational and informational purposes only. It is not be used as a substitute for competent insurance, legal, or tax advice from a licensed professional in your state. By using this blog site you understand that there is no broker client relationship between you and the blog and website publisher.
Blog Archive


View Mobile Version
111 Veterans Blvd, Suite 1420
Metairie, LA 70005
Tel: (504) 832-4161

1502 West Causeway
Mandeville, LA 70471
Tel: (985) 626-1255


TwitterTwitterLinkedInBlog RSSGoogle+Instagram
About Stone Insurance Commercial Services Personal Services
About Us
Our Team
Our Locations
In The News
Read Our Blog
Join Our Newsletter
File a Claim
Make a Payment
Employee Login
Business Owners
General Liability
Workers Compensation
Commercial Vehicles
Equipment
Buildings & Property
Parade
Flood
Professional Liability
Automobile
Homeowners
Flood
Umbrella
Marine